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High Risk Alert^VIX · PriorHigh Risk at 100% confidence — May 18, 22:46 ETMay 18, 22:46 ET

^VIX high risk — V8.4 read

Latest VIDI signal alert for ^VIX. Live state and reasoning below.

Live state
High Risk
Was Prior · now High Risk
Confidence
100%
High conviction
V8.4 composite
46%
Foreshock 118% · Direction -75%
Drawdown
-0.66%
Vol acceleration -80%

Latest VIDI signal alert for ^VIX. Live state and reasoning below.

What HappenedMay 18, 22:46 ET

VIX is currently classified High Risk at 100% confidence on the V8.4 stack. Composite score 46%, foreshock pressure 118%, drawdown -0.66%.

The state is driven by directional pressure (-75%) and volatility acceleration (-80%). The alert is the V8.4 framework registering this combination as outside the Normal band for VIX.

Causal Mechanism

VIX entered High Risk when the V8.4 composite score (46%) crossed the per-symbol threshold band. The persistence filter held the state through 30 bars of confirming evidence.

What to Monitor Next3 conditions
Confidence trajectory
Watch whether confidence drifts further before the next state evaluation. Rapid confidence decline often precedes a higher-state classification.
Anchor state
SPY confidence and state are the primary stabilizing inputs. If the anchor softens concurrently with this alert, propagation risk increases materially.
Cluster comparables
Watch the rest of the asset’s cluster (Institutional / Growth / Defensive). Concurrent stress in cluster peers indicates rotation rather than idiosyncratic risk.
Risk Conditions
System-wide cross-asset stress assessment
What is deteriorating, what is intact across the monitored universe.
Continuously updated
Regime Watch
Institutional regime classification and watch conditions
Current regime, confidence trajectory, and review thresholds.
Continuously updated
Transitions
Recent state changes — escalations, recoveries, reaffirmations
Chronological state-change ledger plus daily EOD recap.
Daily